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Why Finland & Sweden's NATO Future is Uncertain, Fraught With Economic & Security Risks_我的网站

A |     "The accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO constitutes a test of loyalty to the western bloc, in particular to the US and Great Britain, which are the real geopolitical and geostrategic beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict," said Dr. Tiberio Graziani, chairman of Vision & Global Trends International Institute for Global Analyses.,The two Nordic countries' neutrality differs. Sweden had not joined a military alliance or participated in any war since 1814, with its neutrality being flexible, self-declared and not enshrined in law, as the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars noted in its 2 February 2022 study.,In contrast, Finland's neutrality was stipulated by the Paris Peace Treaty of 1947 which was signed after the end of the Second World War between the Allied powers - including the USSR, the UK, the US and France - and former Nazi Germany allies, such as Italy, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Finland.,"This definitely appears to be a violation of Finland’s international agreements signed after WWII with the Soviet Union then later Russia," said Earl Rasmussen, executive vice-president of Eurasia Group, citing the 1947 treaty as well as the 1992 Russo-Finnish treaty.,It raises questions as to whether benefits from the abandoned neutrality will outweigh potential security risks for the two Nordic states.,"I am puzzled by how this inclusion will provide increased security, it appears it will likely further deteriorate relations between Russia and the EU and more specifically with Finland and Sweden," Rasmussen said. "Strategically, I am not sure what the real impact will be. Essentially, both Finland and Sweden are de facto NATO members to include coordination and joint exercises. However, tensions will likely increase and increased defensive measures will likely occur in Russia’s northern regions as well as Kaliningrad.",Why Finland & Sweden’s NATO Admission Is So Important to the US16 May, 19:17 GMT,What Do Finns and Swedes Think About NATO Membership?,Meanwhile, popular support for NATO membership in both Nordic states has never been high.,According to a 2021 poll commissioned by EVA Finnish Business and Policy Forum, around 26% of Finns were in favor of joining NATO, 40% against and 33% remained undecided. A January 2022 Demoskop survey showed 42% of Swedes supporting NATO accession and 37% of respondents opposed it.,The Russian special operation in Ukraine is said to have invigorated NATO proponents in both Nordic countries. Rasmussen noted that recent surveys in Finland have shown a spike in support up to 76%. However, in Sweden, support to join NATO has remained relatively low, climbing to just 47%, according to him.,Meanwhile, unlike Sweden, Finland shares a 1,340 km (830 mi) border with Russia and has maintained longstanding economic relations with Moscow for decades. As of 2019, Finland imported around 60% of its energy from Russia with the latter being the fourth largest importer of Finnish goods in 2017, according to the Wilson Center. Furthermore, Russian speakers constitute the third largest ethnic group in the Nordic country.,Putin: If NATO Infrastructure is Deployed to Finland & Sweden, Russia Will Respond in ‘Mirror Way’01:02 GMT,"Even during the Cold War, both states were neutral and non-NATO members, with Finland developing strong economic and trade relations with Russia," the Eurasia Group vice-president explained. "As trade degrades and energy sharing diminishes there will likely be a strain placed on the economies, mostly with Finland.",Moscow has repeatedly underscored that Russia harbors no hostile intentions against either Nordic country, yet also signaling that the latest NATO expansion will not make the continent more stable or secure. Earlier this week, Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized that the Kremlin has "nothing that could worry us in terms of Finland or Sweden's membership in NATO," adding, however, that if military equipment or troops are deployed along the border, Moscow will have to "respond in a mirror manner and create the same threats in the territories from which they threaten us.",There is yet another controversy surrounding Sweden and Finland's accession to the western military bloc: neither Nordic state has held a popular referendum to find out whether the public has really weighed all the pros and cons of NATO membership.,"Political leadership in both countries is taking a certain degree of risk to push forward the joining without a public referendum," Rasmussen said. "I am sure Washington and Brussels realize that risk.",In addition to that, NATO accession may increase political polarization in both Nordic states, according to the Eurasia Group vice-president. In particular, "the Finnish government is made up of several political parties with no single party having a clear majority, hence requiring partnerships being established," he noted, adding that worsening economic conditions could "potentially create divisions politically and thus alignments could easily change.",Meanwhile, the Swedish left has lashed out at the government and the Social Democrats over Stockholm's NATO admission deal with Ankara. According to Expressen, the Greens and the Left Party are mooting a no-confidence vote against Foreign Minister Ann Linde.,Bank of England Head: UK To Face More Inflation Than Other Major Economies10:47 GMT,Why NATO's 2% Requirement Appears Unrealistic Today,NATO rules may trigger further controversy as they will require Sweden and Finland to spend 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) on their defense budgets. Even though the Nordic countries have committed to reaching the benchmark by 2024, the long-term viability of their promises is in question, given skyrocketing inflation in Europe.,Inflation in Finland has recently risen to its highest level in over 30 years, hitting 7.1% in May. In April, the country's consumer price index (CPI), a popular gauge for inflation, stood at 5.7%, according to Statistics Finland.,Likewise, annual inflation in Sweden jumped from 6.4% in April to 7.3% in May, according to the country's Consumer Price Index with fixed interest rate (CPIF).,"To this end, just as the Ukrainian people are sacrificed, so the economies of European countries will be sacrificed, including Finland and Sweden," forecast Graziani. "Very difficult economic and social months await us in Europe. It will be a very hot autumn. Political crises in various countries of the European Union are likely to be hypothesized.",EU member states, the UK and the US are taking efforts to tame galloping inflation which throws their capability of adhering to NATO requirements into question. To complicate matters further, the UK is calling to step up funding and arming of Ukraine "until victory" amid the Russian special operation.,"The US and UK are using the conflict in Ukraine to pressure greater EU involvement and support to include NATO contributions," said Rasmussen. "While it is being projected that member states will meet their 2% objectives by 2024, based on developing economic conditions and a pending recession, I question the realism of that projection. Increasing real contributions for defense along with rising tensions between the EU and Russia may prove challenging as economic conditions worsen resulting in political disruptions across Europe.",Meanwhile, the US is not in its best shape either, according to Rasmussen. The country steadily moves forward into a potentially deep recession; increased tensions with China; emerging challenges in Latin America; tensions with Iran; and economic challenges at home. The scholar believes that it is likely one will see a major political change in the US in 2022 midterms, in 2024 and beyond.,What’s more, as the Republican Party becomes increasingly influenced by MAGA supporters, Trump's skepticism towards the NATO alliance may get a second wind in 2024. And this raises further questions about the future of the Cold War-era military bloc.。    北京时间8月14日，2026-27赛季，费城76人队的比赛将会成为万众瞩目的必看赛事，球队最多拥有34场全美直播场次，与尼克斯、湖人、马刺并列第一。这份关注度，很大程度要归功于勒布朗・詹姆斯。         这支由乔尔・恩比德、泰瑞斯・马克西与杰伦・布朗领衔的球队，原本就足以吸引大量全美目光。但当詹姆斯在7月落笔签约，奔赴这座“兄弟友爱之城”时，76人正式被贴上标签：不成功便成仁，全力冲击总冠军。

B | 随着费城完整赛程于周四正式公布，詹姆斯的加盟，让多场对决看点倍增。         无论是备受期待、对阵老东家湖人、骑士、热火的比赛，还是东部内战宿敌凯尔特人、尼克斯，新赛季只要有76人出战，詹姆斯都会为比赛增添额外热度。

C |          美媒盘点2026-27赛季，詹姆斯与76人赛程中最值得期待的10场较量。

D | 倒序揭晓如下（均为北京时间）——          第10位｜3月12日：詹姆斯、恩比德迎战文班          如今外界普遍认为，维克托・文班亚马已经做好准备，在詹姆斯退役之后接过“联盟门面”的大旗——这个话题已经被讨论多年。22岁带领球队闯入总决赛的文班亚马，本赛季目标更进一步，他已然是联盟攻防一体最强球员。         3月，詹姆斯率领76人做客圣安东尼奥，挑战西部卫冕冠军马刺。两支球队都将瞄准明年6月的奥布莱恩总冠军奖杯，并且都具备冲冠实力，这场对决极有可能是总决赛预演。         文班亚马与恩比德此前多次正面交锋，两位内线巨星的对抗，让这场比赛更具看点。         第9位｜2月16日：詹姆斯对阵欧文          长期伤病导致凯里・欧文已经很久没能和詹姆斯同场竞技。两人曾在骑士并肩作战多年，每次交手都充满话题。伴随着詹姆斯年岁增长、欧文伤病不断，二人直接对位的机会越来越珍贵。         2月，76人客场挑战独行侠，届时欧文大概率伤愈回归。

E | 如今两人关系缓和不少，但过往恩怨依旧存在：当年欧文离开骑士，前往波士顿带队自立门户。         除此之外，詹姆斯还将对阵联盟潜力新星库珀・弗拉格。这场东西部跨区对决看点十足。         第8位｜11月29日：直面凯文・杜兰特          随着年龄增长，詹姆斯与杜兰特之间的强强对话变少，主要原因就是两队碰面时，两人经常无法同时健康出战。所有人都期待，11月28日76人对阵火箭，两位老将能够健康登场。         外界不禁猜想，这或许是两人本赛季最后几次同场交手。这是NBA历史最经典的球星对决之一，渊源可以追溯到詹姆斯骑士一期时代，彼时杜兰特还是超音速、雷霆的年轻新星。         两人几乎在同一时间段成长为传奇球星。本赛季76人与火箭有两次交手，球迷期待能够再次见证两人正面交锋。         第7位｜11月7日：詹姆斯重返克利夫兰          克利夫兰球迷会为他多年的贡献、无数精彩瞬间以及2016年总冠军送上欢呼吗？还是因为他选择不回归家乡开启生涯第24个赛季，送上嘘声？或许两种声音都会交织在一起。

F |          骑士球迷的反应，让这场比赛成为必看之战。本场排名靠后，是因为这并非本赛季76人与骑士首次交手，两队早在几周前就会在费城碰面。         即便如此，两支球队都志在冲击东部前列，再加上詹姆斯生涯末期重返克利夫兰饱含情感意义，这场亚马逊Prime转播的比赛同样不容错过。

G |          第6位｜11月11日：杰伦・布朗交易后的首次对决绿军          本场排位稍低，是因为焦点更多落在詹姆斯新队友布朗身上，而非老詹本人。76人与凯尔特人向来是经典大战，上赛季双方季后赛就有激烈碰撞。本赛季最大看点是布朗对阵杰森・塔图姆，以及保罗・乔治迎战旧主费城。当然，詹姆斯的存在，进一步放大了这场宿敌之战的热度。         詹姆斯对阵凯尔特人时经常打出生涯高光，这支队伍总能激发他全部潜力。还记得当年年轻的塔图姆在东决抢七隔扣詹姆斯，恍如昨日，二人之间拥有不少精彩对位故事。

H |          和76人对阵尼克斯一样，这场历史宿敌战星光熠熠。乔治与塔图姆让凯尔特人成为2026-27赛季季后赛热门，而得到詹姆斯的费城，冲冠期望值达到顶峰。         公认NBA历史最经典的宿敌对决——76人对阵凯尔特人，在这个休赛期热度再度暴涨。         第5位｜11月26日：自由球员抉择后首次对阵热火          休赛期交易得到字母哥后，帕特・莱利与热火毫不掩饰野心：他们希望能够重新签下詹姆斯。虽然阵容搭配存在磨合难题，但詹姆斯二度加盟热火原本具备极高可能性。最终签约未能达成，这也为这场对决增添双方的竞争动力。         热火主场球迷不会向詹姆斯送上嘘声，但迈阿密全队想要证明：詹姆斯在自由市场选错了东部争冠球队。         恩比德、字母哥、阿德巴约三大内线正面碰撞，让这场赛季初期的对决精彩纷呈。         第4位｜3月25日：自由球员抉择后首次对阵勇士          球迷要等到常规赛末段，才能看到身披76人球衣的詹姆斯首次迎战斯蒂芬・库里、德雷蒙德・格林领衔的勇士。只要核心球星保持健康，这场漫长等待绝对值得。

I |          多年来詹姆斯和库里每次交手都贡献精彩表演，我们无从知晓，这会不会是两人最后一次同场竞技。

J | 76人奔赴湾区客场挑战勇士。和热火一样，勇士也曾是詹姆斯自由市场的潜在下家，最终他选择放弃。         届时勇士能否稳住季后赛席位尚不确定，但库里与格林一定会全力击败詹姆斯。倘若吉米・巴特勒伤病恢复顺利，他也有望登场，迎战恩比德以及老东家76人，让比赛看点再上一层楼。         第3位｜10月23日：主场首秀迎战骑士          试想这一刻：詹姆斯作为首发球员，首次在费城主场球迷面前登场亮相。多年来费城球迷一直呼吁招募詹姆斯，这个愿望终于在休赛期实现。单凭这次签约，他大概率会永远成为这座城市备受喜爱的球星。         10月23日，詹姆斯第二次身披76人球衣出战，同时也是费城主场首秀，对手极具看点。

K | 仅仅在麦迪逊广场花园迎来球队首秀两天之后，詹姆斯带领76人主场迎战老东家骑士。         赛季刚刚开启，所有人都能观察76人进攻体系如何调整，解决多名高球权球星的球权分配问题。而多诺万・米切尔、詹姆斯・哈登领衔的骑士，显然想要为自由市场上詹姆斯拒绝回归一事讨回颜面。         本场话题热度虽然不及詹姆斯重返克利夫兰一战，但依旧看点满满。

L |          第2位｜10月21日：詹姆斯76人生涯首秀          众所周知，詹姆斯十分享受在麦迪逊广场花园打球。他是尼克斯史上最具威胁的客场对手之一，多次在纽约打出现象级表现。如今尼克斯是卫冕冠军，这场NBC直播的揭幕夜大战，注定不容错过。         上赛季季后赛次轮，尼克斯轻松横扫76人。但2026-27赛季，费城极有可能成为尼克斯东部最大挑战者。两队阵容星光璀璨：布伦森、杰伦・布朗都是总决赛MVP；全明星恩比德与唐斯早有恩怨；哈特、马克西、阿奴诺比过往交锋多次大放异彩。据里奇・保罗透露，如果尼克斯没能夺冠，詹姆斯休赛期原本会选择加盟尼克斯，他的到来，让本场比赛拥有最大流量。         这是詹姆斯加盟76人的第一场正式比赛，所有人也十分好奇尼克・纳斯如何搭建进攻体系。马克西与布朗是否愿意转型无球打法？恩比德该如何和詹姆斯兼容？我们将首次一睹这支豪华之师的磨合效果。球员之间需要时间适应，但这将是詹姆斯首次身着全新球衣登上赛场。

M |          第1位｜年终大战：詹姆斯离开后首次对阵湖人          论比赛故事性，NBA常规赛历史上很难找到能够与之比肩的对决。         首先，这是拥有詹姆斯的年终大战。只要他出战，就一定会奉献精彩表现，这点毋庸置疑。2010年对阵湖人砍下三双；2021年对阵篮网拿下39分；2024年对阵勇士斩获31分10助攻，率队险胜。         詹姆斯离队后首次迎战湖人，话题度无人能及。

N | 费城与湖人素来渊源深厚，篮球数据网站统计，两队历史交锋湖人150胜，76人145胜，双方曾五次会师NBA总决赛。         除此之外，詹姆斯将要面对昔日主教练雷迪克，以及前队友东契奇、里夫斯。重回湖人主场球馆，面对曾经支持自己的球迷，詹姆斯拥有充足动力打出华丽数据。         更重要的是，这可能是詹姆斯首次以对手身份和儿子同场竞技。此前父子二人在湖人并肩作战，留下诸多回忆。

o | 布朗尼未必能进入湖人轮换名单，但倘若他获得登场机会，和父亲直接对位，将会成为史诗级直播画面。         重返洛杉矶，詹姆斯收获欢呼还是嘘声？一切未知。

p | 76人对阵湖人，绝对值得锁定观看。

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